Recent research by Moody’s indicated that mortgage defaults are ripe in the community as borrowers struggle to meet repayment obligations while home values decline and businesses struggle.
This is certainly something the RBA should give some serious attention to when considering their future interest rate strategies.
The report shows that the proportion of home loans in default – where borrowers are behind on their repayments by 90 days or more – has gone up from 1.36 per cent in March last year to 1.67 per cent at the end of June.
While house values have declined significantly in Victoria, Moodys had found that the most affected areas were in Queensland, NSW and WA.
There is certainly evidence of the two-speed economy, said Moody’s senior analyst Arthur Karabatsos.
Borrowers in the less affluent areas with a high proportion of their income going towards their home loans are the most affected.
In Western Australia’s non-mining areas, price rises for food and utilities took a heavy toll.
In other negative reports, a NAB survey of industry players found that house prices have fallen 2.4 per cent across Australia this quarter.
Victorian house priced declined the most during the current quarter. Things are expected to get worse before showing some improvement.
CommSec economist Craig James described it as a “dead cat bounce” in what was the weakest housing sales market in a decade.
And a report released by RP Data revealed that nationwide, 7.7 per cent of houses bought since 2007 are now worth less than their purchase price.
Many home owners as well as owners of investment properties are now experiencing equity crisis with more than 300,000 homes nationally today worth less than their owners paid for them.
That includes almost 100,000 homes bought since the onset of the global financial crisis in early 2008, many of which were first homes purchased with the assistance of federal and state grants.
Queensland has been hardest hit by declining home values, with about one in seven homeowners sitting on paper losses, according to RP Data’s analysis of the difference between the price of the property at purchase and today, but not homeowner debt.
The worst regions were far north Queensland, the Gold Coast and the Sunshine Coast.
One in 10 homes in Western Australia are now worth less than their owners paid for them, with the southeastern region dragging down the state’s overall figure.