Aug 11

It seems that borrowers are beginning to catch up with their arrears as the number of home loan arrears has leveled out and came in slightly lower in May as compared to April of this year.

New data from Standard & Poor’s found home loans underlying Australian prime residential mortgage-backed securities that are greater-than-30 days in arrears eased to 1.80 per cent in May 2011, from 1.83 per cent a month earlier.

The mortgage arrears levels seem to have stabilized, with only marginal movements between May and April,” Standard & Poor’s credit analyst Vera Chaplin said.

A significant improvement in mortgage arrears may not occur until we see an overall improvement in the economic conditions in Australia.

Home loans held by the self employed on a low doc basis continue to be the most affected by financial pressures. Although the Low Doc Home Loan SPIN has dropped to 5.79 per cent from 5.88 per cent during the same period.

Aug 10

Changes to lending rules which followed the GFC and the introduction of the National Credit Code , in conjunction with Tax Office crackdowns on small businesses have caused a 6 per cent increase in the number of Australian companies going under.

Australian Securities and Investments Commission insolvency figures, released yesterday show 9829 companies entered external administration in the 2010-11 financial year, the highest figure since the peak of 10,005 during the global financial crisis.

Businesses who are experiencing tough retail conditions are not finding an understanding ear with the banks, who are making it far more difficult for borrowers to qualify for loans even where the borrower has plenty of equity in their home.

The leader of ASIC’s insolvency team, Adrian Brown, said banks in an effort to  prevent client bankruptcies have gone some way to meet stable clients, in some cases allowing facilities to be rolled over without the provision of further financials.

In addition to borrowing from banks, Australian companies are exposed to US credit conditions through their heavy reliance on North America’s private placement market, the source of a third of the Australian corporate sector debt raised last year.

About $6 billion of the $21 billion in Australian corporate debt that needs to be refinanced next year is sourced from the US private placement market, with $7.2 billion coming from banks, according to research released by Moody’s in March.

While large corporates are able to issue bonds and borrow offshore, the smaller companies that make up the bulk of insolvencies depend on bank finance. The Australian government has introduced tough lending regulations which has meant that much of the low doc home loan business acceptable in the past would be declined today. It is not unusual for small business owners to resort to using the equity in their homes to finance their business debts – however today such financial solutions are more difficult to implement and are more costly than in the past.

Smaller businesses were finding it more difficult to borrow. ”For example, you continue to see not as much finance available for property development, particularly suburban-type property development, while for more blue-chip properties you’ll see there’ll be market finance available.

Ferrier Hodgson partner Morgan Kelly said small to medium businesses were having difficulty borrowing and had also been hit by changes in workplace laws, the threat of a carbon tax and the ATO’s crackdown.

He said banks were also concerned about concentrations of risk in specific areas, such as commercial property.

In theory banks want to lend money – unfortunately the people they are prepared to lend to – do not need to borrow.

Jul 21

Home Loan arrears are expected to stay at the presently high levels in the immediate future.

According to Fitch Ratings, home owners who are 30 or more days behind on their mortgage payments will will remain at approximately 1.75 per cent for the rest of the year.

This forecast is based on recent estimates issued by the RBA that rates are likely to remain at current levels for the next few months.

In the minutes of its July meeting, the Reserve Bank warned that mortgage arrears rates had gone up among home buyers who had purchased their homes during the property price peak periods, particularly in Western Australia and Queensland.

RBA believes that home loan arrears are the fault of lenders who did not follow sufficiently strict lending guidelines.

Fitch associate director James Zanesi said higher interest rates had put home buyers in difficulty.

Of course the recent spate of natural disasters has had an unexpected financial impact on many Queensland and Victorian families.

“ While Fitch does not believe that natural disasters such as the December/January floods have been the main factor in the rise in delinquency rates in Queensland, the ratings agency cannot exclude that natural disasters might have indirectly contributed in terms of regional unemployment and increasing cost of living,” he said.

Jul 12

Home Loans underlying Australian prime residential mortgage-backed securities currently in excess of 30 days in arrears increased to 1.81 per cent in March 2011, from 1.44 per cent in December 2010.

According to a report published by Standard & Poor’s Ratings Services, this represents a significant 25 per cent increase in home loan arrears bringing the level closer to the historical high of 1.84 per cent experienced in January 2009.

Subprime RMBS arrears increased by 103 basis points to 11.22 per cent during the same period.

Most years home loan arrears peak early in the year following Christmas spending before easing in March, however current trends suggest that this year arrears continue to increase well int o the middle of the year.

Borrower ability to service home loan debts declined with the extreme flood and cyclone events experienced earlier this year, combined with higher cost of living and mortgage rates, have contributed to elevated arrears in Q1 2011. And with interest rates expected to remain at current levels or higher, there is expectation that home loan arrears could surpass the current peak, until a subsequent boost in economic activity occurs as the repair and replacement of damaged assets gets underway.

May 27

Most people do not understand the workings of their credit history. Many have never had a look at their credit report, do not know that such a report exists and only find out about credit history when they are decline finance due to some history of bad credit.

Unfortunately the workings of you credit history is not something that is covered in school or in college (unless your profile is finance). Therefore many people go though life knowing nothing about it – until they hit a snag such a illness, loss of job or divorce.

Despite the low profile of credit reporting up to 14 per cent of people surveyed by Veda Advantage (credit reporting agency) had an overdue bill in the past three months – something that could leave a black mark on their credit file if the debt remained unpaid for more than 60 days.

Mortgage Brokers are also concerned that many clients have no idea what is on their credit file, even though information such as bill defaults or applications for other debt could be enough reason for them to be denied a home loan.

Younger Borrowers especially are oblivious to what appears on their report.

The head of external relations at Veda Advantage (which holds credit files on more than 14.5 million Australians), Chris Gration, says the state of your file can affect not just your ability to get a home loan but even something as basic as having the internet connected.

People should make it a habit to check their credit file annually – something you can do at no cost, Gration says. They should also review their file at least 30 days before making any credit application.

Just 4 per cent of those in the Galaxy survey had requested a copy of their file in the past 12 months.

”By obtaining a copy of your personal credit file you’ll know what financial institutions and other credit providers are looking at,” Gration says. ”That way you can be ready to answer any questions that might arise from your credit file.”

He says checking your credit file will also alert you to any mistakes or to fraudulent activity in your name.

May 9

ANZ Banking Group boss Mike Smith stated that increasing cost of living as well as high interest rates have made it necessary for people to resort to using credit cards to keep up with their living expenses.

Unfortunately many people are struggling and can not stay up to date with their credit card obligations.

Mr Smith’s comments on ABC television follow Westpac chief Gail Kelly who, earlier last week, acknowledged a rise in consumer arrears, but said it was not at a level to cause the bank a loss.

Generally poor credit quality is a feature of high unemployment times in Australia. Whereas today unemployment levels are quite low.

He said it now appeared to be seasonally related, noting “a little bit” of a situation where people were going on holidays and not repaying the monthly debt on their credit cards.

“But I think that interest rates are beginning to hurt a little bit now, so the recent rises are beginning to bite,” he said, adding that the Queensland floods had contributed to the issue.

He also made clear his view that credit growth going forward is unlikely to reach the levels seen before the Global Financial Crisis.

He said both corporate and consumer credit growth had slowed because people were more cautious while others were trying to boost savings.

Mr Smith expects that the Aussie dollar will continue to rise.

Apr 18

New homeowners will need to watch every dollar in the wake of a significant increase in the cost of living this Easter.

Mortgage Choice has recently conducted a survey of new home owners which indicates that 32% of borrowers who bought their home within the last two years are intending to spend less this Easter than they did last year. Home Owners simply fee that due to rising interest rates they are not able to afford the same standard of living as they could last year.

Borrowers are worried despite the recent stability in rates with the last time that RBA had lifted the Australian cash rate being November 2010.

The Recent First Homeowner Survey conducted by Mortgage Choice revealed that almost one third will spend less this Easter and only one in seven will spend more, despite five months of steady interest rates. Borrowers are determined to either put money back in their home loans or make sure their outgoing cashflow remains stable.

Many borrowers are still feeling the effects of November’s rate hike, while some are still suffering the economic effects of natural disasters.

Feb 24

During January 2010, Sunshine Coast Council attempted to reach over 217 owners and mortgagees of  properties with rate arrears in excess of three years. Hundreds of letters were mailed out.

The council was happy to negotiate with residents and owners including potentially placing people of a payment plan to ensure that the rate arrears are paid out.

Some residents were referred to the Department of Communities housing services to confirm whether any of these could qualify for mortgage relief loans. Payments and arrangements have resulted in council reducing the longer-term outstanding rates arrears bill by $1.43 million.

Council finance chair Cr Chris Thompson said it had been important to work together with the affected home-owners in an attempt to reduce the outstanding rate balances.

“We have been working in partnership with affected owners in an endeavour to reach arrangements which everyone can live with,” he said.

“These things are never easy for any of us, but I believe we have arrived at a good outcome overall.”

One year down the track, the number of properties with outstanding rates arrears has been reduced by more than half to 64 with outstanding arrears of $842,000.

The council is now intending to commence procedures under Chapter 2, Part 12, Division 3 of the Local Government Act 2009 (Finance Plans and Reporting Regulation) to recover outstanding rates and charges by way of sale of land for all properties, with overdue rates for a period greater than three years as at November, 2009 with the exception of eligible pensioners and owner occupiers without a mortgage.

All affected properties will be put up for Auction and sold by 30 October 2011.

Feb 15

Credit Card debt is one of the most frequent reasons why Australians get into Debt Problems. Very few people have the discipline that credit card use requires. If you do not possess the necessary Credit Card discipline – simply give them up and never use them again.

As of December 2010,  Aussies have racked up almost $50 billion in credit card debt. Many families are now experiencing the Christmas spending hangover….and it can be quite unpleasant.

Out of control credit cards often lead to defaults and bad credit. If all you repay is the minimum set amount, before you know it your debts will spiral to balances you will not be able to pay out. Next comes the payment of interest on interest and so on.

New research from Citibank Australia shows as a nation we are getting better at repaying our credit cards in full. Many Australian understand that one should not put any purchase on a credit card which one can not afford to fully repay by the end of the month. Credit Cards should be used in such a way that they offer the convenience of paying when you do not have cash handy, but they should not incur any interest. Ideally credit card balances should be repaid during the interest free period.

Statistics suggest that 59 per cent of people said they paid off their credit card in full each month, whereas three years ago it was only 40 per cent.

Last year 9 per cent of people said they paid the bare minimum each month, whereas three years ago 17 per cent of card users paid the minimum.

Citibank research also confirmed that women have more problems with managing credit card debt than men.

Whereas only 4 per cent of high-income households pay the minimum each month, 16 per cent of low-income households those earning less than a combined $50,000 a year do likewise.

If you can qualify for a low rate personal loan then it may make sense to consolidate credit cards and store cards into a personal loan. However the best and cheapest form of debt consolidation is into your mortgage. Adding unsecured debt to your mortgage allows you to significantly reduce your monthly repayments by having your unsecured debts incur secured level of interest – which is significantly cheaper than the rate on your credit cards.

Adding a credit card balance of $10,000 to your mortgage can make it cost you $20,000 plus in the long run, however by keeping the credit card where it is you can potentially pay a lot more than that to your credit card company.

A growing number of people, however, are switching to cards that offer interest-free honeymoon periods for debts transferred over from rival credit cards. These cards also offer a good debt consolidation alternative if used correctly.

It is important that you make every effort to:

- Payout the full balance transfer amount before the end of the transfer period.

- Don’t make extra purchases on the card thinking you will only pay the balance transfer interest rate, as this is not the case.

- Remember, in most cases repayments go towards the balance transfer first before being applied to any additional purchases.

- At the end of the balance transfer period, consider closing the card and moving your other debt to a low interest card.

- Do not hold too many cards if you can help it as many credit cards incur an annual fee. The more cards you have, the more you pay.

- You don’t have to have your credit card with the same provider you have your everyday account with. Shop around.

Jan 24

According to a report published by international Fitch Ratings agency, Australia’s major banks are strong enough to withstand a severe downturn in the Australian home loan market. They are far more vulnerable due to their reliance on offshore wholesale debt markets for funding than due to local mortgages going bad.

The global ratings agency said a 150 per cent surge in property prices in the decade to 2008 had helped push Australia’s household debt to disposable income ratio to 159 per cent in mid-2010.

This is a higher level than the US, UK and Spain at the peak of their housing cycles.

Fitch believe that Australian banks will do fine even on the face of significant issues with mortgage arrears and defaults.

The banks’ management of their loan books and asset quality is critical given the Australian banking system’s reliance on wholesale markets for funding, Fitch said.

Fitch analysed the chances of default under mild, moderate and severe scenarios, which assumed house prices would drop by 20 per cent, 30 per cent and 40 per cent respectively.

The probability of default was set at 2.5 per cent, 6.0 per cent and 8.0 per cent respectively, although Fitch admitted its analysis did not account for borrowers’ ability to service their loans, nor the impact of the floods in eastern states.

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