Experts expect that Bad Debts will jump exponentially in Queensland as a result of floods.
All major banks as well as the Brisbane-based lenders – could take a significant hit as borrowers default on payments, costs rise and demand for new credit falls following the flood disaster.
In the short term there is an expectation of loan growth as the government, along with businesses and households devastated by the floods, turn to the formidable task of rebuilding.
Despite diversifying its business in recent years, BoQ is still holding a lot of local home loans which make up approximately two-thirds of its loan book.
Goldman Sachs analyst Ben Khoo expects athat loan arrears across Queensland will increase. It is unclear at this stage what the full impact will be.
“If banks decide to offer additional loans and an extention to the required repayment terms during the rebuild effort … we might actually see loan growth pick up.”
ANZ, CBA and Westpac said they would allow affected customers to cease repayments on home and other loans for up to three months.